Topics / Impacts & Risks

Impacts & Risks

Climate change is already dismantling ecosystems, destabilizing economies, and endangering lives. However, the true scale of the risks—tipping points, cascading failures, and systemic collapse—continues to be underestimated. Uncover the unfolding impacts and mounting dangers that demand urgent action, and explore our insights and analysis to better understand what’s at stake.

Reports
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Analysis
The Great Barrier Reef
The Great Barrier Reef faces rapid decline; urgent, targeted actions are needed to restore ecosystems, safeguard species, and ensure survival.
Drawdown Solar Reflection Targets Ecosystem Collapse
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Analysis
A Climate-First Foreign Policy For Australia
Climate disruption demands urgent reorientation of Australian foreign and security policy priorities.
Impacts Politics Policymaking Human Security
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Analysis
Collision Course
With the planet already effectively at 1.5°C of warming, and no sign of emissions peaking, the world is now on a dangerous trajectory toward 3°C.
Energy Solar Reflection Economics Mobilisation Climate Science Climate Extremes Ice Melt Policymaking Tipping Points
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Analysis
Too Hot to Handle
Australia’s climate-security response is dangerously inadequate, ignoring urgent scientific warnings and concealing key risk assessments.
Climate Extremes Advocacy Politics Tipping Points Health Human Security
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Analysis
Heat to Hunger
Climate-driven food insecurity threatens global stability; Australia must act urgently to assess and address escalating security risks.
Adaptation Impacts Future Warming Food & Water Human Security
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Analysis
Australian Climate & Security Risk Assessment
Proposal to establish an urgent, independent Australian climate and security risk assessment framework.
Risk Analysis Policymaking Human Security
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Analysis
Climate Dominoes
Earth’s systems are showing significant signs of tipping into irreversible change.
Climate Science Impacts Scientific Reticence Sea Levels Tipping Points Ecosystem Collapse
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Analysis
Missing in Action
With the planet already effectively at 1.5°C of warming—and no sign of emissions peaking—the world is now on a dangerous trajectory toward 3°C.
Future Warming Politics Food & Water Human Security
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Analysis
Degrees of Risk
Financial systems risk collapse as climate models ignore cascading impacts of 3°C warming and systemic instability.
Economics Finance Climate Science Risk Analysis Future Warming
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Analysis
Climate Reality Check
Warming beyond 1.5°C is imminent; only emergency-scale action can prevent catastrophic, irreversible, self-reinforcing climate impacts this century.
Decarbonisation Drawdown Solar Reflection Adaptation Climate Science Future Warming Tipping Points
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Analysis
Fatal Calculations
Climate economics has consistently downplayed future climate damage and risk.
Economics Finance Risk Analysis Future Warming Policymaking Food & Water
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Analysis
Climate Emergency Defined
A focused assessment of whether climate risks now justify an emergency response.
Economics Mobilisation Risk Analysis Policymaking
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Analysis
What Lies Beneath
Mainstream climate assessments downplay extreme risks—this report calls for urgent, large-scale, emergency-level climate action.
Climate Science Risk Analysis Scientific Reticence Ice Melt Policymaking Tipping Points
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Analysis
Disaster Alley
Climate change has become a major catalyst for global conflict, social unrest, and humanitarian breakdown.
Risk Analysis Impacts Climate Extremes Sea Levels Food & Water Human Security
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Analysis
Antarctic Tipping Points
How Antarctica could contribute several metres of sea-level rise—far sooner than previously thought.
Sea Levels Ice Melt Tipping Points Ecosystem Collapse
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Analysis
Recount
The 2°C limit is dangerously inadequate; irreversible tipping points are already triggered, leaving no carbon budget to prevent catastrophic impacts.
Climate Science Goals & Targets Risk Analysis Advocacy
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Analysis
Climate Code Red
This urgent call for immediate climate action reshaped global approaches and framed climate change as an emergency.
Decarbonisation Drawdown Solar Reflection Mobilisation Scientific Reticence Sea Levels Targets Policymaking Tipping Points
Papers
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Analysis
Climate disruption, not China, is the key security threat facing Australia
This submission argues climate disruption, not military rivalry, represents Australia’s greatest security risk, demanding a major rethink of AUKUS-era spending priorities.
Impacts & Risks Politics Policymaking Human Security
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Analysis
Understanding Climate Risk
Policymakers and scientific institutions like the IPCC place too much emphasis on middle-of-the-road probability estimates rather than plausible worst-case outcomes.
Economics Risk Analysis Policymaking Tipping Points
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Analysis
Warming has Reached 1.5°C
Global warming has hit 1.5°C, but that is not safe. What does that mean for climate advocacy?
Solar Reflection Climate Science Impacts Future Warming Ice Melt Advocacy Targets
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Analysis
Is Scientific Reticence Hindering Climate Understanding?
Climate impacts are happening faster than predicted, yet scientific caution and underestimation of risks are slowing public understanding and policymaking.
Climate Science Risk Analysis Scientific Reticence Politics Policymaking
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Analysis
Testing Climate Preparedness
Australia’s National Climate Risk Assessment (NCRA) process ignores global-scale existential and systemic climate risks.
Risk Analysis Scientific Reticence Politics Human Security
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Analysis
Australia's Climate Security Risk Assessment
Australia’s first climate security assessment highlights urgent threats, but government refuses to release full findings.
Risk Analysis Politics Food & Water Human Security
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Analysis
Faster, Higher, Hotter
The evidence is clear: emissions are still rising, warming will exceeds 1.5°C by decade's end, and tipping points are accelerating, requiring urgent action.
Impacts Climate Extremes Future Warming Ice Melt Tipping Points
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Analysis
Reclaiming “Climate Emergency”
How should the term “climate emergency” be understood?
Decarbonisation Economics Mobilisation Risk Analysis Advocacy Targets Politics Policymaking
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Analysis
Net Zero 2050: A Dangerous Illusion
Net zero 2050 plans risk locking in fossil fuel use for many decades, leading to dangerous warming and economic instability.
Economics Climate Science Targets Policymaking
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Analysis
Carbon Budgets For 1.5 & 2°C
Current carbon budgets underestimate warming by ignoring feedbacks and risky assumptions about climate system behavior.
Climate Science Risk Analysis Targets Policymaking
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Analysis
COVID-19 Climate Lessons
COVID-19 revealed global unpreparedness; climate disruption demands urgent, science-based leadership and coordinated risk management action.
Mobilisation Risk Analysis Politics Policymaking
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Analysis
The Third Degree
Australia and the world face catastrophic risks from 3°C warming; leadership denial leaves society dangerously unprepared for collapse.
Risk Analysis Climate Extremes Future Warming Tipping Points Food & Water Health Human Security
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Analysis
Existential Climate-Related Security Risk
Climate change poses an existential threat; urgent, wartime-scale action is needed to prevent profound security consequences.
Risk Analysis Impacts Climate Extremes Future Warming Human Security
Articles
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Insights
Could Four Billion People Die at 3°C?
Every 1,000 tonnes of fossil carbon burned may result in one future premature death.
Impacts & Risks Risk Analysis Climate Extremes Food & Water Health Human Security
SYDNEY, AUSTRALIA - NOVEMBER 27: The sun rises over Bondi Beach on November 27, 2024 in Sydney, Australia. Australians are at risk of enduring rolling blackouts this week, amid a heatwave sweeping through NSW and unexpected coal outages across the state. A severe heatwave warning has been issued by the Bureau of Meteorology for parts of eastern NSW over the next few days – with the mercury tipped to soar into the high 30s in some regions. Some areas reached a maximum temperature of 37C on Monday, with Richmond and Perth in Sydney's west also clocking in at 35C. (Photo by Brook Mitchell/Getty Images)
Insights
Perfect Recipe for Food Insecurity
When global events collide, the consequences may be unprecedented
Climate Science Climate Extremes Future Warming Food & Water
TOPSHOT - This picture taken on December 4, 2019 shows a passenger aircraft flying across the setting sun in Sydney, as smoke haze continues to hang over the city with more than 50 bushfires still burning across New South Wales. - Australian authorities on December 5 said the toxic smoke that has enshrouded Sydney for much of November is unprecedented, as residents donned masks and cranked air conditioners in the hope of respite. (Photo by Saeed KHAN / AFP) (Photo by SAEED KHAN/AFP via Getty Images)
Insights
Dodging Climate Breakdown, Really?
Media headlines say worst-case warming is fading. Evidence suggests dangerous heating remains.
Climate Science Climate Extremes Future Warming Tipping Points
CANBERRA, AUSTRALIA - MAY 13: Australian Treasurer Jim Chalmers addresses the National Press Club in The Great Hall on May 13, 2026 in Canberra, Australia. The Labor government’s 2026-27 Federal Budget handed down on May 12, 2026 focuses on cost-of-living relief, housing affordability, and defence spending, as Treasurer Jim Chalmers faces pressure to deliver economic stability ahead of a federal election cycle. (Photo by Hilary Wardhaugh/Getty Images)
Insights
Budgeting For Denial
Australia’s budget ignores escalating climate risks, deepening future national vulnerability.
Economics Climate Science Climate Extremes Politics Policymaking
Rescuers evacuate residents from their flooded homes in Bekasi on February 19, 2021, as heavy rain inundated the city on the outskirts of Jakarta. (Photo by Rezas / AFP) (Photo by REZAS/AFP via Getty Images)
Insights
Drowning in Distraction
Any sane security policy would put climate risks, not China, at centre stage.
Politics Policymaking Human Security
TOPSHOT - Women members of Iran's Red Crescent society stand near smoke plumes from an ongoing fire following an overnight airstrike on the Shahran oil refinery in northwestern Tehran on March 8, 2026. The United States and Israel launched strikes against Iran on February 28, sparking swift retaliation by the Islamic republic which responded with missile attacks across the region. The war has dragged in global powers, upended the world's energy and transport sectors, and brought chaos to even usually peaceful areas of the volatile region. (Photo by AFP via Getty Images)
Insights
Iran War Heightens Climate Risks
As a regional power and signatory to the non-proliferation treaty, Australia has responsibilities. There are four steps the government should take.
Politics Human Security
SYDNEY, AUSTRALIA - JANUARY 08: A person walks past a sale signage reading 'Handle Heat' in a heatwave conditions on George Street on January 08, 2026 in Sydney, Australia. (Photo by George Chan/Getty Images)
Insights
Climate Policy-Making off the Rails?
A one-sided emphasis on adaptation distracts from decarbonisation focus.
Adaptation Future Warming Policymaking
Popular MELBOURNE, VICTORIA STATE, AUSTRALIA - 2025/01/04: People enjoy the sunny day at Geelong Beach, with temperatures expected to soar into the high 30s on Sunday. Geelong Beach heats up on Saturday with temperatures nearing 40°C, as locals and visitors flock to the ocean to beat the summer heat before conditions peak on Sunday. (Photo by Ye Myo Khant/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images)
Insights
Climate Hot Takes for 2025
Evidence this year shows 1.5°C has effectively been reached, 3°C is looming under current policies, and geoengineering is moving into the mainstream conversation.
Impacts Future Warming Policymaking Tipping Points
TOPSHOT - This picture taken on December 4, 2019 shows a passenger aircraft flying across the setting sun in Sydney, as smoke haze continues to hang over the city with more than 50 bushfires still burning across New South Wales. - Australian authorities on December 5 said the toxic smoke that has enshrouded Sydney for much of November is unprecedented, as residents donned masks and cranked air conditioners in the hope of respite. (Photo by Saeed KHAN / AFP) (Photo by SAEED KHAN/AFP via Getty Images)
Insights
In the Burning Days
Northern Australia faces escalating climate risk amid defence and fossil expansion.
Energy Risk Analysis Impacts Human Security
Australian Defence Minister Richard Marles and Foreign Minister Penny Wong tour the flight deck of HMAS Canberra ahead of the arrival of Prime Minister Anthony Albanese and President of the Republic of Indonesia, Prabowo Subianto, at Fleet Base East, in Sydney, Wednesday, November 12, 2025. (AAP Image/Dan Himbrechts) NO ARCHIVING
Insights
Sleepwalking Down a Runway to Climate Disaster
Australia's defence an foreign policy ignores climate threat to focus on smaller risks.
Politics Policymaking Human Security
FUNAFUTI, TUVALU - NOVEMBER 28: Suega Apelu stands in the lagoon on November 28, 2019 in Funafuti, Tuvalu. The low-lying South Pacific island nation of about 11,000 people has been classified as ‘extremely vulnerable’ to climate change by the United Nations Development Programme. The world’s fourth-smallest country is struggling to cope with climate change related impacts including five millimeter per year sea level rise (above the global average), tidal and wave driven flooding, storm surges, rising temperatures, saltwater intrusion and coastal erosion on its nine coral atolls and islands, the highest of which rises about 15 feet above sea level. In addition, the severity of cyclones and droughts in the Pacific Island region are forecast to increase due to global warming. Some scientists have predicted that Tuvalu could become inundated and uninhabitable in 50 to 100 years or less if sea level rise continues. The country is working toward a goal of 100 percent renewable power generation by 2025 in an effort to curb pollution and set an example for larger nations. Tuvalu is also exploring a plan to build an artificial island. (Photo by Mario Tama/Getty Images)
Insights
Ignoring Tipping-Point Risks
Assessment understates catastrophic sea-level risks, leaving communities exposed and unprepared.
Risk Analysis Sea Levels Tipping Points
6 year-old Ariella (top) and her 3 year-old sister Romy enjoy an early morning swing amid a dust storm in Balmain, Sydney, Wednesday, Sept. 23, 2009. The dust, which blanketed the city, is being blown by strong winds from dry farm land in western and southern parts of NSW and eastern South Australia. (AAP Image/Dan Peled) NO ARCHIVING, INTL OUT
Insights
Australia’s First Climate Risk Assessment, Long Overdue
Australia has never had a comprehensive climate risk assessment. It has been a glaring omission.
Risk Analysis Politics Human Security
CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA - AUGUST 07: Aerial views of The Great Barrier Reef are seen from above on August 7, 2009 in Cairns, Australia. A recent report by marine scientist Charlie Veron claims that the reef will be so degraded by warming seas that it will be gone within 20 years, and that this situation is now irreversible. He goes on to predict that once carbon dioxide levels hit levels predicted between 2030 and 2060, that all reefs will become extinct and their ecosystems would collapse. The area pictured is also where conservation celebrity Steve Irwin was killed by a singray. (Photo by Phil Walter/Getty Images)
Insights
Coral in Crisis
Global temperatures have likely reached 1.5°C, with accelerating warming driven by rising CO2 levels.
Solar Reflection Tipping Points Ecosystem Collapse
SYDNEY, AUSTRALIA - DECEMBER 19: A man looks over a smokey Sydney skyline on December 19, 2019 in Sydney, Australia. NSW Premier Gladys Berejiklian has declared a state of emergency for the next seven days with ongoing dangerous fire conditions and almost 100 bushfires burning across the state. It's the second state of emergency declared in NSW since the start of the bushfire season. (Photo by Jenny Evans/Getty Images)
Insights
Accelerating Warming Time-Bomb
Accelerating warming creates urgent, systemic climate risks demanding unprecedented global action.
Tipping Points Ecosystem Collapse
TOWNSVILLE, AUSTRALIA - FEBRUARY 04: Seen is a general view of a blocked major intersection in the flooded Townsville suburb of Idalia on February 04, 2019 in Townsville, Australia. Queensland Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk has warned Townsville residents that flooding has not yet reached its peak as torrential rain continues. The continued inundation forced authorities to open the floodgates on the swollen Ross River dam on Sunday night. (Photo by Ian Hitchcock/Getty Images)
Insights
At the Climate Crossroads
Climate risks are escalating rapidly. The 1.5°C threshold has been surpassed, pushing us toward devastating tipping points.
Adaptation Impacts Politics
CENTRAL COAST, AUSTRALIA - JULY 27: Homes along Ocean View Drive in Wamberal come under new threat from large waves driven by an East Coast low on July 27, 2020 in Central Coast, Australia. Beachfront homes along the NSW Central Coast are at risk of collapse due to beach erosion after huge swells hit the state's beaches in recent weeks. (Photo by Brook Mitchell/Getty Images)
Insights
60-Metre Sea Rise Predicted
Current CO2 levels could cause a 60-meter sea-level rise, with devastating impacts and urgent climate action needed.
Climate Science Sea Levels Ice Melt Tipping Points
Popular SYDNEY, AUSTRALIA - NOVEMBER 27: The sun rises over Bondi Beach on November 27, 2024 in Sydney, Australia. Australians are at risk of enduring rolling blackouts this week, amid a heatwave sweeping through NSW and unexpected coal outages across the state. A severe heatwave warning has been issued by the Bureau of Meteorology for parts of eastern NSW over the next few days – with the mercury tipped to soar into the high 30s in some regions. Some areas reached a maximum temperature of 37C on Monday, with Richmond and Perth in Sydney's west also clocking in at 35C. (Photo by Brook Mitchell/Getty Images)
Insights
1.5°C is Here & Now
Global temperatures have likely reached 1.5°C, with accelerating warming driven by rising CO2 levels.
Climate Science Climate Extremes Future Warming Tipping Points
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Insights
Too Hot Classified
The Albanese Government withheld a classified climate-security report, selectively briefed MPs, and delayed action amid rising risks.
Risk Analysis Politics Human Security
Australia's Prime Minister Anthony Albanese (2nd L) walks upon his arrival at Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport in Jakarta on May 14, 2025, on his first overseas visit after being re-elected. (Photo by YASUYOSHI CHIBA / AFP) (Photo by YASUYOSHI CHIBA/AFP via Getty Images)
Insights
Our National Security Blindspot
The Albanese Government's climate risk assessment is delayed, while critical climate-security risks remain hidden.
Risk Analysis Politics Human Security
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Insights
Another Year, Another Record
2024 broke temperature records amid deadly climate disasters, failing policies, and accelerating risks from ocean and tech impacts.
Economics Climate Science Impacts Policymaking
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Insights
Policy on Collision Course
Climate policy is failing to address rapid warming, risking extreme impacts and societal collapse.
Future Warming Policymaking Tipping Points Ecosystem Collapse
NATIONAL HARBOR, MARYLAND - FEBRUARY 24: Republican presidential candidate and former U.S. President Donald Trump hugs an American flag as he arrives at the Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) at the Gaylord National Resort Hotel And Convention Center on February 24, 2024 in National Harbor, Maryland. Attendees descended upon the hotel outside of Washington DC to participate in the four-day annual conference and hear from conservative speakers from around the world who range from journalists, U.S. lawmakers, international leaders and businessmen. (Photo by Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images)
Insights
America First, Earth Last
Climate policy is failing to address rapid warming, risking extreme impacts and societal collapse.
Politics Policymaking Human Security
A girl looks at rising floodwaters of the Bremer river in West Ipswich, Australia's Queensland state on February 26, 2022. (Photo by Patrick HAMILTON / AFP) (Photo by PATRICK HAMILTON/AFP /AFP via Getty Images)
Insights
A Climate Duty of Care
Governments must uphold fiduciary duties, protecting citizens from climate risks and ensuring long-term stability and well-being.
Risk Analysis Politics
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Insights
Too Hot To Handle
Climate threats are escalating fast, yet Australia’s defence and risk systems remain dangerously outdated and blind.
Politics Human Security
BRISBANE, AUSTRALIA - MARCH 09: A resident walks on a flooded Edmonstone Street in the suburb of Newmarket on March 09, 2025 in Brisbane, Australia. Australia's east coast is experiencing severe weather as ex-Tropical Cyclone Alfred moves south. While downgraded from cyclone status, the weather system continues to bring damaging winds, heavy rainfall, and flash flooding, particularly in the Gold Coast and northern NSW regions. Authorities have issued severe weather warnings, and coastal areas remain at risk of significant erosion and hazardous surf conditions. Residents are urged to stay updated on local warnings, avoid floodwaters, and prepare for ongoing disruptions. (Photo by Albert Perez/Getty Images)
Insights
Oblivious to the Storm
AMOC collapse threatens global food security, sea levels, and climate stability, with severe impacts on Australia.
Impacts Tipping Points Human Security
RIO DE JANEIRO, BRAZIL - NOVEMBER 18: Anthony Albanese prime minister of Australia listens during the first working session as part of the G20 Summit 2024 at Museu de Arte Moderna on November 18, 2024 in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. The 2024 G20 Summit takes place in Brazil for the first time. The event gathers leaders of the most important economies. Starvation, sustainable development and social inclusion are some of the issues to be during the summit. (Photo by Buda Mendes/Getty Images)
Insights
Politics Tunes Out Climate Warnings
Climate policy is failing to address rapid warming, risking extreme impacts and societal collapse.
Politics Human Security
TOPSHOT - A firefighter conducts back-burning measures to secure residential areas from encroaching bushfires in the Central Coast, some 90-110 kilometres north of Sydney on December 10, 2019. Toxic haze blanketed Sydney on December 10 triggering a chorus of smoke alarms to ring across the city, as Australians braced for "severe" weather conditions expected to fuel deadly bush blazes. (Photo by Saeed KHAN / AFP) (Photo by SAEED KHAN/AFP via Getty Images)
Insights
Climate’s Latest Scorching Reality
2023 was a year of unprecedented heat, drought, and disaster.
Climate Science Climate Extremes Future Warming Ecosystem Collapse
TOPSHOT - A photo shows flood damages in the Windsor and Pitt Town areas along the Hawkesbury River area of Greater Sydney on March 24, 2021. (Photo by LUKAS COCH / POOL / AFP via Getty Images)
Insights
Going Under Despite the Warnings
High-end possibilities create the greatest damage, so why don't we understand them?
Climate Science Risk Analysis Tipping Points
CANBERRA, AUSTRALIA - MAY 14: Australia's Prime Minister Anthony Albanese arrives at Parliament House on May 14, 2024 in Canberra, Australia. Australia's Labor government is grappling with a slowing economy, weaker commodity prices, soaring housing costs and a softening labor market as it prepares to unveil its federal budget on May 14. To counter these headwinds, the budget is expected to feature smaller revenue upgrades compared to recent years, while outlining the government's interventionist policies aimed at boosting domestic manufacturing and the transition to green energy. Critics warn that such industrial policies risk fueling inflation and diverting resources from more productive sectors of the economy. The budget is seen as a key opportunity for the Labor government to deliver broad economic support that analysts say is fundamental to re-election chances next year. (Photo by Tracey Nearmy/Getty Images)
Insights
Climate Security Left in the Dark
Concealing the intelligence analysis of climate threats is the opposite of good security policy governance.
Risk Analysis Politics Human Security
HORSHAM, AUSTRALIA - JANUARY 18: Local Horsham kids navigate through a flooded street on January 18, 2011 in Horsham, Australia. Residents and emergency crews sandbagged properties and evacuations were ordered in the town in preparation for the worst flooding in over 200 years. A relief centre has been set-up in at Horsham Town Hall and emergency crews are on-site as the Wimmera River water level continues to rise. (Photo by Richard Kendall/Getty Images)
Insights
Faster Than Forecast
Climate policy is failing to address rapid warming, risking extreme impacts and societal collapse.
Climate Science Future Warming Tipping Points
Popular AUSTRALIA - SEPTEMBER 03: A load of coal is loaded onto a ship berthed at the Port of Newcastle in Australia, on Monday, Sept. 3, 2007. Coal prices rose to a record for a third straight week at Australia's Newcastle port, a benchmark for Asia, as snowstorms in China cut exports, adding to supply disruptions in Australia and South Africa. (Photo by Andy Shaw/Bloomberg via Getty Images)
Insights
The Net-Zero Myth
Leading economists warn net-zero scenarios are based on flawed models unfit for guiding urgent, risk-aware climate policy.
Economics Climate Science Policymaking
Popular BUNDABERG, AUSTRALIA - JANUARY 29: A man comforts his daughter on their roof as they inspect damage to their neighbourhood as parts of southern Queensland experiences record flooding in the wake of Tropical Cyclone Oswald on January 29, 2013 in Bundaberg, Australia.Four deaths have been confirmed and thousands have been evacuated in Bundaberg as the city faces it's worst flood disaster in history. Rescue and evacuation missions continue today as emergency services prepare to move patients from Bundaberg Hospital to Brisbane amid fears the hospital could lose power. (Photo by Chris Hyde/Getty Images)
Insights
Stranded by a Warming World
The Paris target is unsafe as major climate tipping points accelerate, demanding urgent global action.
Climate Science Sea Levels Ice Melt Tipping Points Ecosystem Collapse
Podcasts
UK Podcast—8-100
Insights
2025 in Climate Review
AMOC instability, the risks of overshoot, and Emergency Briefings.
Drawdown Solar Reflection Climate Science Future Warming Tipping Points
Listen
USA Podcast—5-100
Insights
Facing the World at 3°C
The catastrophic risks of a 3°C world and the urgent need for honest climate risk assessment and decisive leadership.
Decarbonisation Climate Science Risk Analysis Future Warming Politics Tipping Points Food & Water
Listen
USA Podcast—6-100
Insights
The Worst Outcome of Systematic Collapse
Exploring climate tipping points, 1.5°C, and why high-end risks must guide policy and security planning.
Climate Science Goals & Targets Impacts Future Warming Human Security
Listen
USA Podcast—12-100
Insights
Cooling a Livable Planet
Outdated risk models and delayed action are pushing us toward dangerous climate thresholds.
Decarbonisation Drawdown Solar Reflection Risk Analysis Future Warming
Listen
UK Podcast—9-100
Insights
At the Point of Systemic Collapse
Climate change is accelerating, creating urgent risks for ecosystems, human security, and the future.
Solar Reflection Impacts Future Warming Scientific Reticence
Listen
Projects
Latest Stock close-up photograph of a young Asian woman, pointing at, and learning from, global data displayed on a large computer monitor.
Advocacy
Climate Science Imperatives Project
Understanding the Climate Challenge and the Conditions for Safety
Climate Science Risk Analysis Impacts
GImages-108017844
Advocacy
Climate & Security
Understanding Climate Risk and Strengthening Protection in an Era of Escalating Disruption
Targets Tipping Points Health
Events
EUR unnamed(2)
Event
ATLAS25
ATLAS25 was organised to bridge scientific understanding on Earth System Tipping Points (ESTP)
9am—Thu 23 to 5pm—Tue 25 Nov 2025
Valkoinen sali (White Hall)
Tipping Points
Selling Fast JM1_1024
Event
National Climate Emergency Summit
An underdog group of economists is on a mission to instigate a paradigm shift by flipping our understanding of the national debt — and the nature of money — upside down.
Fri 11—Tue 15 Apr 2025
State Library Victoria Theatrette
Human Security
Media
Media
Labor goes cold on hot climate threats
Promised domestic climate risk assessment missing in action as new report warns of 3°C warming catastrophe.
3 December 2024
Impacts & Risks Risk Analysis Politics Policymaking Human Security
Media
Financial sector risks repeating Global Financial Crisis mistakes on climate change
Can the banking system survive climate warming of 3°C
16 August 2021
Economics Finance Impacts & Risks Politics Policymaking Human Security
Press
7_Measuring_greenhouse_L.jpg.optimal
Media
Is scientific reticence hindering climate understanding?
Scientific reticence is understating climate dangers, weakening public understanding and slowing responses proportionate to the threat.
12 March 2025
Climate Science Risk Analysis Impacts Climate Extremes
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Media
Net-zero emissions by 2050: leadership or climate colonialism?
How fast does Australia need to reduce greenhouse emissions to play its fair part in responding to the global climate emergency?
20 September 2023
Decarbonisation Impacts & Risks Politics Policymaking Human Security
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Media
Anthony Albanese government refusing to release declassified climate security report
Forceful declaration calls for governments to set short-term zero emissions target to avoid catastrophic warming
23 August 2023
Impacts & Risks Climate Extremes Politics Human Security
smaoke1
Media
MPs warned of “devastating” climate-fuelled disruption across Asia-Pacific
Federal politicians are being warned that Australia must prepare for “devastating” climate-fuelled disruption in the Asia Pacific region.
3 August 2023
Impacts Climate Extremes Politics Policymaking
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Media
Philip Sutton, inspiring Australian activist who sounded climate emergency alarm
A pioneer of the climate emergency movement and a powerful influence on environmental campaigners in Australia and internationally.
21 June 2022
Mobilisation Future Warming Advocacy Targets
Flood_Waters_Containers
Media
Net zero emissions must be reached before 2030 for 2°C target, new analysis says
Calculations of global carbon budgets have underestimated potential increases in global temperatures.
12 April 2021
Impacts & Risks Targets Policymaking
FireClimate copy4
Media
Climate summit calls for urgent action after Australia's fire-hit summer
Forceful declaration calls for governments to set short-term zero emissions target to avoid catastrophic warming
15 February 2020
Impacts Climate Extremes Advocacy Politics
FloodWatersAsiaPeople
Media
Is it true climate change will cause the end of civilisation by 2050?
More than a billion people could be displaced by climate change by 2050, is that true?
6 June 2019
Impacts & Risks Tipping Points Food & Water Ecosystem Collapse Human Security
Daniel Lerps Flickr
Media
Climate Change Threatens Societal Collapse Within Decades: Report
Extreme weather could result in a complete societal breakdown by 2050.
5 June 2019
Impacts & Risks Climate Extremes Future Warming Tipping Points Ecosystem Collapse
SYDNEY, AUSTRALIA - SEPTEMBER 23: The Sydney Opera House is seen on September 23, 2009 in Sydney, Australia. Severe wind storms in the west of New South Wales have blown a dust cloud that has engulfed Sydney and surrounding areas. (Photo by Brendon Thorne/Getty Images)
Media
Code red: Climate skating on thin ice, authors say
Climate Code Red, argues that the climate change challenge is far worse than officially acknowledged.
18 July 2008
Mobilisation Impacts Climate Extremes Scientific Reticence
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Tim Costello

Social Justice Advocate & Former World Vision Australia CEO

Leading voice on social justice, poverty, humanitarian response, community leadership and public advocacy.

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Kristy Howey

Environmental Lawyer and Executive Director

Specialises in advocacy, research, strategy, Indigenous governance, law, development and environmental protection.

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Adrian Hindes

Earth Systems Analyst and Researcher

Studies SRM, CDR, tipping points, risks, ethics, governance and impacts.

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David King

Climate Policy Analyst and Scientific Advisor

Former chief scientist advising governments on emissions, innovation and global climate governance.

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Peter Garrett

Environmentalist, Activist, Former Government Minister

Environmental campaigner, musician and policymaker advancing conservation and climate action nationally.

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Michael Thomas

Security Analyst and Defence Academic

Former army officer researching geopolitics, strategy and climate-security risks internationally.

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Neil Greet

Climate Security Analyst and Advisor

Retired colonel assessing defence implications, environmental instability and strategic planning challenges.

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Cheryl Durrant

Climate Security Analyst and Defence Strategist

Former military leader specialising preparedness, resilience and climate risk integration strategies.

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Charlie Veron

Marine Biologist and Coral Taxonomist

Renowned scientist studying reefs, biodiversity loss and ocean ecosystems under warming.

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David Spratt

Research Director and Climate Analyst

Author examining existential threats, policy failures and urgent mitigation requirements globally.

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Ian Dunlop

Energy Expert and Strategic Advisor

Former executive advising decarbonisation, resource constraints and systemic economic transition risks.

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Hans Joachim Schellnhuber

Climate Physicist and Policy Advisor

Leading scientist modelling Earth systems, tipping points and planetary boundaries and informing policy.

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Sherri Goodman

National Security and Climate Risk Leader

Pioneer linking defence planning, environmental change, geopolitical stability and security frameworks.

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Paul Gilding

Author & Corporate Advisor

Former executive advising business transformation, economic shifts and sustainability strategy implementation.

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Chris Barrie

Former Defence Chief and Security Advocate

Ex-ADF leader highlighting climate threats, national security risks and policy urgency.

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