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Ian Dunlop draws on fossil fuel industry experience to assess systemic climate risk, highlighting economic disruption, energy vulnerabilities and governance failures, and the urgency of rapid transition.

Summary

  • Former oil, gas and coal executive with extensive industry leadership experience.
  • Expert in systemic climate risk, economic resilience and financial disruption.
  • Analysis of energy security, fossil fuel dependence and transition pathways.
  • Critique of climate governance, policy failure and the urgency of transformative action.
  • Advocate for governance reform and rapid climate action to reduce existential risk.

Ian Dunlop is an Australian energy expert, corporate strategist, and leading voice on climate and sustainability. With a background in the fossil fuel industry, including senior roles at Royal Dutch Shell and as Chair of the Australian Coal Association, Ian transitioned to climate advocacy, pushing for urgent action on the escalating climate crisis.

He has played a key role in shaping climate and energy policy, leading Australia’s first emissions trading system design and serving as CEO of the Australian Institute of Company Directors. Today, Ian is Chair of the Advisory Board at the Breakthrough National Centre for Climate Restoration and a member of the Club of Rome and the Australian Security Leaders Climate Group, where he highlights the security risks posed by climate change.

Ian is a frequent contributor to public debate, publishing sharp analyses on energy, climate, and governance. His work emphasises the need for urgent, transformative action to mitigate climate risks and secure a sustainable future.

Climate Change is an existential issue. If we don’t get it right, we all have a very big problem. What we need is a Government of National Unity.”

Ian Dunlop
Energy Expert and Strategic Advisor
Ian's Archive
ARTICLES
Energy Security is a Climate Issue, Too
Energy, human and climate security are all converging into one story.
REPORTS
A Climate-First Foreign Policy For Australia
Climate disruption demands urgent reorientation of Australian foreign and security policy priorities.
ARTICLES
A Climate Duty of Care
Governments must uphold fiduciary duties, protecting citizens from climate risks and ensuring long-term stability and well-being.
ARTICLES
Too Hot To Handle
Climate threats are escalating fast, yet Australia’s defence and risk systems remain dangerously outdated and blind.
REPORTS
Too Hot to Handle
Australia’s climate-security response is dangerously inadequate, ignoring urgent scientific warnings and concealing key risk assessments.
REPORTS
Heat to Hunger
Climate-driven food insecurity threatens global stability; Australia must act urgently to assess and address escalating security risks.
REPORTS
Australian Climate & Security Risk Assessment
Proposal to establish an urgent, independent Australian climate and security risk assessment framework.
REPORTS
Climate Dominoes
Earth’s systems are showing significant signs of tipping into irreversible change.
REPORTS
Missing in Action
With the planet already effectively at 1.5°C of warming—and no sign of emissions peaking—the world is now on a dangerous trajectory toward 3°C.
REPORTS
Degrees of Risk
Financial systems risk collapse as climate models ignore cascading impacts of 3°C warming and systemic instability.
PAPER
Net Zero 2050: A Dangerous Illusion
Net zero 2050 plans risk locking in fossil fuel use for many decades, leading to dangerous warming and economic instability.
PAPER
Carbon Budgets For 1.5 & 2°C
Current carbon budgets underestimate warming by ignoring feedbacks and risky assumptions about climate system behavior.
REPORTS
Fatal Calculations
Climate economics has consistently downplayed future climate damage and risk.
PAPER
The Third Degree
Australia and the world face catastrophic risks from 3°C warming; leadership denial leaves society dangerously unprepared for collapse.
PAPER
Existential Climate-Related Security Risk
Climate change poses an existential threat; urgent, wartime-scale action is needed to prevent profound security consequences.
REPORTS
What Lies Beneath
Mainstream climate assessments downplay extreme risks—this report calls for urgent, large-scale, emergency-level climate action.
REPORTS
Disaster Alley
Climate change has become a major catalyst for global conflict, social unrest, and humanitarian breakdown.
REPORTS
Recount
The 2°C limit is dangerously inadequate; irreversible tipping points are already triggered, leaving no carbon budget to prevent catastrophic impacts.
PRESS
Corporate Australia in denial over climate change, former coal exec Ian Dunlop says
Not a single voice had been raised by peak business about the appointment of so-called climate change deniers to advise government.
REPORTS
Climate Code Red
This urgent call for immediate climate action reshaped global approaches and framed climate change as an emergency.
Collaborators
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