Analysis
Explore our series of briefing and discussion papers for a grounded assessment of climate impacts and risks, and the critical responses required to restore safe conditions.
Recipe for food insecurity
War, fertiliser and the El Niño
Converging climate, fertiliser and food shocks threaten profound instability across Australia’s region.
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A safe climate requires cutting emissions, removing excess carbon and investigating safe ways to cool the planet.
1.5°C should be treated as a risk threshold, not an endpoint.
This submission argues climate disruption, not military rivalry, represents Australia’s greatest security risk, demanding a major rethink of AUKUS-era spending priorities.
Climate disinformation threatens democracy, demanding urgent national response.
Government misses an obvious climate moment during extreme weather crisis.
Policymakers and scientific institutions like the IPCC place too much emphasis on middle-of-the-road probability estimates rather than plausible worst-case outcomes.
Global warming has hit 1.5°C, but that is not safe. What does that mean for climate advocacy?
Climate impacts are happening faster than predicted, yet scientific caution and underestimation of risks are slowing public understanding and policymaking.
The strategy to reduce, remove and repair.
Australia’s National Climate Risk Assessment (NCRA) process ignores global-scale existential and systemic climate risks.
Australia’s first climate security assessment highlights urgent threats, but government refuses to release full findings.
The evidence is clear: emissions are still rising, warming will exceeds 1.5°C by decade's end, and tipping points are accelerating, requiring urgent action.
How should the term “climate emergency” be understood?
Net zero 2050 plans risk locking in fossil fuel use for many decades, leading to dangerous warming and economic instability.
Current carbon budgets underestimate warming by ignoring feedbacks and risky assumptions about climate system behavior.
COVID-19 revealed global unpreparedness; climate disruption demands urgent, science-based leadership and coordinated risk management action.
An economic tipping point signals fossil-fuel decline, new economy growth, and urgent financial contagion preparedness.
Urgent climate failure demands emergency action for maximum protection of all life, ecosystems, and civilisation worldwide.
How climate emergency declarations influence Australian councils' policies.
Australia and the world face catastrophic risks from 3°C warming; leadership denial leaves society dangerously unprepared for collapse.
Climate change poses an existential threat; urgent, wartime-scale action is needed to prevent profound security consequences.
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The Great Barrier Reef faces rapid decline; urgent, targeted actions are needed to restore ecosystems, safeguard species, and ensure survival.
Climate disruption demands urgent reorientation of Australian foreign and security policy priorities.
With the planet already effectively at 1.5°C of warming, and no sign of emissions peaking, the world is now on a dangerous trajectory toward 3°C.
Australia’s climate-security response is dangerously inadequate, ignoring urgent scientific warnings and concealing key risk assessments.