Analysis

Analysis

Access our in-depth reports for a clear assessment of climate impacts and risks, and strategies that match the scale of the threat.

This submission argues climate disruption, not military rivalry, represents Australia’s greatest security risk, demanding a major rethink of AUKUS-era spending priorities.
Climate disinformation threatens democracy, demanding urgent national response.
Government misses an obvious climate moment during extreme weather crisis.
Policymakers and scientific institutions like the IPCC place too much emphasis on middle-of-the-road probability estimates rather than plausible worst-case outcomes.
The catastrophic risks of a 3°C world and the urgent need for honest climate risk assessment and decisive leadership.
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The Great Barrier Reef faces rapid decline; urgent, targeted actions are needed to restore ecosystems, safeguard species, and ensure survival.
Exploring climate tipping points, 1.5°C, and why high-end risks must guide policy and security planning.
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Outdated risk models and delayed action are pushing us toward dangerous climate thresholds.
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Climate disruption demands urgent reorientation of Australian foreign and security policy priorities.
Climate change is accelerating, creating urgent risks for ecosystems, human security, and the future.
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Climate impacts are happening faster than predicted, yet scientific caution and underestimation of risks are slowing public understanding and policymaking.
An Effective Goal For A Climate Emergency Response
With the planet already effectively at 1.5°C of warming, and no sign of emissions peaking, the world is now on a dangerous trajectory toward 3°C.
Australia’s climate-security response is dangerously inadequate, ignoring urgent scientific warnings and concealing key risk assessments.
Australia’s National Climate Risk Assessment (NCRA) process ignores global-scale existential and systemic climate risks.
Australia’s first climate security assessment highlights urgent threats, but government refuses to release full findings.
The evidence is clear: emissions are still rising, warming will exceeds 1.5°C by decade's end, and tipping points are accelerating, requiring urgent action.
Climate-driven food insecurity threatens global stability; Australia must act urgently to assess and address escalating security risks.
Proposal to establish an urgent, independent Australian climate and security risk assessment framework.
With the planet already effectively at 1.5°C of warming—and no sign of emissions peaking—the world is now on a dangerous trajectory toward 3°C.
Financial systems risk collapse as climate models ignore cascading impacts of 3°C warming and systemic instability.
Net zero 2050 plans risk locking in fossil fuel use for many decades, leading to dangerous warming and economic instability.
Warming beyond 1.5°C is imminent; only emergency-scale action can prevent catastrophic, irreversible, self-reinforcing climate impacts this century.
Current carbon budgets underestimate warming by ignoring feedbacks and risky assumptions about climate system behavior.
COVID-19 revealed global unpreparedness; climate disruption demands urgent, science-based leadership and coordinated risk management action.
Climate economics has consistently downplayed future climate damage and risk.
An economic tipping point signals fossil-fuel decline, new economy growth, and urgent financial contagion preparedness.
Urgent climate failure demands emergency action for maximum protection of all life, ecosystems, and civilisation worldwide.
A focused assessment of whether climate risks now justify an emergency response.
Australia and the world face catastrophic risks from 3°C warming; leadership denial leaves society dangerously unprepared for collapse.
Climate change poses an existential threat; urgent, wartime-scale action is needed to prevent profound security consequences.
Mainstream climate assessments downplay extreme risks—this report calls for urgent, large-scale, emergency-level climate action.
Climate change has become a major catalyst for global conflict, social unrest, and humanitarian breakdown.
How Antarctica could contribute several metres of sea-level rise—far sooner than previously thought.
A full-scale, WWII-level mobilisation is now essential to prevent climate collapse and restore safe climate conditions.
Even at 1.2°C of warming, Earth’s systems are showing signs of tipping into irreversible change.
The 2°C limit is dangerously inadequate; irreversible tipping points are already triggered, leaving no carbon budget to prevent catastrophic impacts.