Analysis / report

Striking Targets

Matching Climate Goals with Climate Reality

By Philip Sutton
Friday 5 June, 2015
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After decades fighting for basic climate action, a new focus is required: demanding action that matches the true scale and urgency of the climate emergency. This report urges this shift.

Summary

  • Paris marks a global turning point but fails to deliver protection aligned with scientific necessity.

  • Thirty years of struggle secured action; now the challenge is ensuring it’s effective and sufficient.

  • Climate campaigning must shift from seeking agreement to demanding solutions that meet the scale of risk.

  • The battle is no longer action vs inaction, but inadequate reform vs transformative change.

  • A safe future requires redefined goals, grounded in science and committed to genuine climate protection.

A Roadmap for Safe Climate Action

The 2015 Paris Climate Conference should mark a turning point in global climate action. This report argues that, after nearly three decades of effort since the founding of the IPCC and the UN climate negotiations, the world appears on the verge of a binding agreement involving all nations. While the likely accord may succeed in averting the worst-case +4ºC warming scenario, it still falls far short of what is needed to limit warming to safer levels, such as below +2ºC.

The report contends that for the past 27 years, the climate movement’s core focus has been on achieving any meaningful action in the face of entrenched opposition. With a global agreement now in sight, however, the context has changed. The movement must move beyond simply securing commitments and shift its focus to aligning those commitments with what climate science says is actually necessary to protect people and ecosystems from escalating harm.

In this new era of climate campaigning, the report calls for a redefinition of goals: from incremental progress to demanding solutions that deliver real protection. The battle ahead lies not between action and inaction, but between inadequate reform and the transformative changes required to meet the scale of the crisis. Activists, scientists, and policymakers are urged to prepare for this shift and commit to ensuring that climate action is both scientifically grounded and morally sufficient.

In his foreword to Striking Targets, acclaimed sustainability writer and advisor, Paul Gilding, sets a clear and urgent tone. Drawing from decades of experience and his influential works The Great Disruption and The One Degree War Plan, Gilding reinforces that the science is no longer in dispute: the world faces an existential threat from climate change, and the time has come to respond accordingly. He asserts that while uncertainties in climate details remain, the overall message from science is unmistakable — we must act decisively to reduce the risk of catastrophic climate impacts.

Gilding argues that the world will inevitably come to accept the true scale of the threat and respond with the seriousness it demands. He anticipates a historic turning point, when societies recognise that failing to act risks not just environmental harm but the collapse of global economic and social systems. In that moment, he believes, the only rational choice will be to initiate a full-scale emergency mobilisation, comparable in scale to World War II efforts — harnessing every tool of political will, technological innovation, and collective determination.

Ultimately, Gilding’s and Sutton’s message is one of hard-edged optimism. They insists that a safe climate is still achievable, but only through a rapid and well-planned emergency response. Anything less would be a reckless gamble with civilisation’s future. The real work ahead, they concludes, is to design and implement a plan equal to the scale of the crisis.

It is time to declare a global emergency and mobilise all our available resources… towards one task – reducing the risk of catastrophic climate change to a safe level.

Paul Gilding
Author & Corporate Advisor
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report

Striking Targets

Even at 1.2°C of warming, Earth’s systems are showing signs of tipping into irreversible change.

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